When to Plan a Trip to Cancun for Decent Weather and Cheaper Hotels?
For US travelers, late April to May and early December are usually the best times to visit Cancun for dry weather and lower hotel prices, and February is usually the best month for Mexico City. Here is why, with rainfall data, hurricane season dates and how to book through ShopBack.
Late April to May is usually the best time to plan a Cancun trip for decent weather and cheaper hotels, so pick your dates, then book through ShopBack before you pay, where ShopBack Cashback works like a discount, only easier than a promo code. April is Cancun's driest month on average, at about 1.5 inches of rain, according to Mexico's national weather service climate normals, and the spring break and Easter crowds have gone. Early December, after hurricane season ends on November 30 and before Christmas, is the runner-up. For Mexico City, February usually wins.
ShopBack US is a free app and website that returns part of what you spend at partner stores as cash you can withdraw. You go through ShopBack before you book on sites like Expedia, Apple Vacations and CheapCaribbean, and after the booking is confirmed, cash comes back to your account. Join ShopBack US for free.
When should I plan a trip to Cancun to get decent weather and cheaper hotels?
Aim for late April to May, or early December. Here is why those windows work:
- Dry weather. Cancun has a tropical wet and dry climate. Climate normals from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, as listed on Wikipedia, show average rainfall of about 1.7 inches in February, 1.8 inches in March and 1.5 inches in April, compared with about 8.8 inches in September and 9.5 inches in October.
- Outside hurricane season. NOAA's National Hurricane Center says the Atlantic hurricane season, which includes the Caribbean, runs from June 1 to November 30. Late April, May and early December all fall outside it.
- Outside the big US travel weeks. Christmas to New Year, spring break weeks in March and Easter usually bring the highest Cancun prices. In 2027, Easter Sunday is March 28, so mid-April onward is usually clear of the Easter rush.
What to expect in May. It gets hotter: the same climate normals put Cancun's average high at about 92°F in May, against about 90°F in April and 83°F in January, and rainfall starts to rise toward June. Early May is usually the better half of the month.
What to expect in early December. Average rainfall is about 3.1 inches in December, more than spring but well below fall, and the average high is about 84°F. Prices usually climb from mid-December.
Best time to visit Cancun: month by month
Cancun is warm all year, so the real trade-off is rain and storms against price. Figures below are average highs and rainfall from Mexico's national weather service normals, as listed on Wikipedia:
| Months | Average high | Average rainfall | Crowds and prices |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 83°F | 2.2 in | High after New Year, easing later in the month |
| February | 85°F | 1.7 in | Busy, dry |
| March | 87°F | 1.8 in | Peak around spring break and Easter |
| April | 90°F | 1.5 in | Easter early in some years, then easing |
| May | 92°F | 3.3 in | Usually good value, getting hotter |
| June to August | 92 to 94°F | 4.4 to 5.7 in | Summer travel, hurricane season begins |
| September to October | 89 to 92°F | 8.8 to 9.5 in | Usually lowest prices, highest storm risk |
| November | 86°F | 4.4 in | Improving weather, Thanksgiving week busy |
| December | 84°F | 3.1 in | Good value early, peak from mid-December |
Sea temperatures stay warm all year, at about 79°F in winter and 84°F in summer, according to the same Wikipedia page.
Best time to visit Cancun in 2026: the hurricane season question
Fall is usually Cancun's cheapest season because it is the stormiest. NOAA says the Atlantic season peaks on September 10, with most activity between mid-August and mid-October. Large hurricanes near Cancun are rare, but they do happen.
If you book in hurricane season:
- Choose flexible rates where you can, and read the cancellation policy before you pay.
- Consider travel insurance that covers weather disruption; see our guide on whether travel insurance is worth the cost.
- Keep the plan simple. A resort stay is easier to move than a multi-stop trip.
For the rest of 2026, early December is the next window that combines the end of hurricane season with pre-holiday pricing.
Best time to visit Cancun: best deals from the US in 2026
Your dates usually matter more than any code. A few habits help:
- Avoid the peak weeks. Christmas to New Year, March spring break and Easter week usually cost the most.
- Compare packages with separate bookings. A package with flights, hotel and transfers can come out lower than booking each part on its own, or higher. Price both.
- Compare the same resort and room type across two or three sites.
- Watch sale events. Travel sites often run sales around Black Friday, Cyber Monday and Travel Tuesday; see our guide to Black Friday and Travel Tuesday travel deals.
- Before you check out, go through ShopBack. It lowers the effective price of the booking after you pay.
For timing your flight purchase, see our guide on when to book flights.
CheapCaribbean vs Apple Vacations vs Expedia: Cancun price comparison
All three sell Cancun trips; the cheapest changes with your dates, departure city and resort. Each has its strengths:
| CheapCaribbean | Apple Vacations | Expedia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best for | Vacation packages to the Caribbean and Mexico | All-inclusive vacation packages to Mexico and the Caribbean | Flights, hotels and packages in one place |
| How to compare | Same resort, room type and dates | Same resort, room type and dates | Same resort, plus flights and hotel booked separately |
How to use them together. Price the same resort for the same nights on CheapCaribbean and Apple Vacations, then check Expedia for a package or separate flights and hotel. Pick the lowest total including taxes and fees, then open that site from ShopBack US before you book.
Other travel sites on ShopBack US include Booking.com, Trip.com, Hotels.com and Viator.
Cancun tourist tax: VISITAX
Budget for VISITAX. According to the Quintana Roo state tax office, VISITAX is mandatory for all foreign tourists who visit Quintana Roo, the state that includes Cancun, Playa del Carmen, Tulum and Cozumel, regardless of how they leave. You pay through the official visitax.gob.mx portal or authorized companies, and the same rate applies to adults and children. Check the current amount on the official site before you travel.
What is the best month to visit Mexico City without paying peak prices?
February, in most years. It sits in the middle of Mexico City's dry season and between the busy year-end holidays and Holy Week.
- Dry and mild. Climate normals from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, as listed on Wikipedia, put February rainfall at about 0.2 inches and the average high at about 76°F. Nights are cool, with average lows around 49°F, so pack a jacket.
- Between the peaks. Christmas and New Year are busy, and Holy Week before Easter, which ends on March 28 in 2027, is one of Mexico's main holiday weeks.
Second choice: early to mid November. The rains have mostly ended (about 0.7 inches on average in November), and the Day of the Dead crowds around November 1 and 2 have passed.
Hottest and driest stretch: March to May, with average highs around 79 to 82°F. Wettest: June to September, when climate normals show about 5 to 7 inches of rain a month and rain on most days.
Best time to visit Mexico City by month
| Months | Average high | Average rainfall | What to expect |
|---|---|---|---|
| December to January | 72°F | 0.2 to 0.5 in | Dry, cool nights, busy around the holidays |
| February | 76°F | 0.2 in | Dry, mild, usually good value |
| March to May | 79 to 82°F | 0.5 to 2.3 in | Warmest, Holy Week busy |
| June to September | 75 to 78°F | 5.2 to 6.9 in | Rainy season, rain on most days |
| October | 74°F | 2.8 in | Rains easing |
| November | 73°F | 0.7 in | Dry again; Day of the Dead early in the month |
Source: Servicio Meteorológico Nacional climate normals, as listed on Wikipedia, at the time of writing.
Expedia vs Booking.com for Mexico City: price comparison
For a city trip, compare the same hotel on both sites before you book.
- Expedia suits travelers who want flights and a hotel in one booking.
- Booking.com suits hotel and apartment stays. Its Genius program gives 10% off select stays at Level 1 and up to 20% at Level 3, according to Booking.com, applied to the price before taxes and fees.
- Viator covers tours and day trips from the city.
Open each site from ShopBack US every time you book.
How ShopBack lowers the cost of your trip
Save on your trip by booking flights, hotels and activities through ShopBack. ShopBack lowers the effective price of flights, hotels and online orders after you pay.
Cashback lowers what you actually pay for an order. It comes back as cash, so it works like a discount on the price, not like points or miles.
Step by step:
- Open ShopBack US and tap the site you want, such as Expedia, Apple Vacations or CheapCaribbean.
- Check the rate shown on that page.
- Tap through, search your dates and book.
Working out the effective price. Your effective price is what you pay minus the Cashback, at the rate shown on the store's ShopBack page. Check the live rate before you book.
Promo codes, loyalty points and card rewards with ShopBack
Whether savings combine depends on each site's rules.
- Credit card rewards. Your card's rewards come from your bank and usually still apply when you pay. Check your card's terms.
- Changes and cancellations. Cashback is based on what you keep, so settle your dates first.
Frequently asked questions
When should I plan a trip to Cancun to get decent weather and cheaper hotels?
Late April to May is usually the best window. It is still Cancun's dry season, April is the driest month on average, and the spring break and Easter crowds have gone, so hotel prices often ease. Early December, after hurricane season ends on November 30 and before the Christmas rush, is the second best window. Book through ShopBack before you check out.
What is the best month to visit Mexico City without paying peak prices?
February is usually the best month. It is the middle of Mexico City's dry season, with about 0.2 inches of rain on average, highs in the mid 70s°F, and it falls between the year-end holidays and Holy Week. Early to mid November, after Day of the Dead, is another good choice.
When is hurricane season in Cancun?
The Atlantic hurricane season, which covers the Caribbean, runs from June 1 to November 30, according to NOAA's National Hurricane Center. NOAA says the season peaks on September 10, with most activity between mid-August and mid-October. Hotels are often cheaper then, but the weather risk is highest.
What is the rainiest month in Cancun?
October, on average. Mexico's national weather service climate normals, as listed on Wikipedia, put Cancun's average rainfall at about 9.5 inches in October and 8.8 inches in September, compared with about 1.5 inches in April, the driest month.
When is Cancun most expensive?
Usually from Christmas to New Year, during US spring break weeks in March, and around Easter. Those are the weeks when demand from the US is highest, so hotel and package prices usually peak. Booking outside them is the simplest way to pay less.
When is the rainy season in Mexico City?
Roughly June to September. Climate normals listed on Wikipedia show Mexico City averaging about 6.9 inches of rain in both July and August, with rain on 20 or more days in each, while December to February average about half an inch a month or less. Pack a light rain jacket if you go then.
Is there a tourist tax in Cancun?
Yes. According to the Quintana Roo state tax office, VISITAX is mandatory for all foreign tourists visiting Quintana Roo, which includes Cancun, and is paid through the official visitax.gob.mx portal or authorized companies. The same rate applies to adults and children. Check the current amount on the official site.
CheapCaribbean vs Apple Vacations: which is better for a Cancun package?
Both sell Cancun vacation packages that bundle flights and hotels, so the better one is whichever prices your dates, departure city and resort lower. Compare the same resort and room type on both, plus Expedia.
How does ShopBack lower the cost of a Cancun or Mexico City trip?
Save on your trip by booking flights, hotels and activities through ShopBack. ShopBack lowers the effective price of flights, hotels and online orders after you pay: part of what you spend comes back as Cashback you can withdraw. The live rate is on each store's ShopBack page.
Can I use a promo code and ShopBack on the same Cancun booking?
Sometimes, depending on the store. Compare the code's saving with the live rate on the store's ShopBack page, and go through ShopBack before you pay.
Related reads
Go through ShopBack before you book at: Expedia · Apple Vacations · CheapCaribbean
About this guide
Hurricane season dates come from NOAA's National Hurricane Center. Cancun and Mexico City temperatures and rainfall come from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional climate normals as listed on Wikipedia. VISITAX details come from the Quintana Roo state tax office's VISITAX portal. Genius details come from Booking.com. Rates change, so this guide points to the live rate on each store's ShopBack page instead of quoting one.
Disclaimer
The views and recommendations expressed in this article are those of the author. Travel prices, weather, storm risk, holiday dates, taxes, loyalty discounts and Cashback rates vary and are subject to change. Check official sources and the live rate on each store's ShopBack US page before you book. This article is intended for general informational purposes only and should not be considered professional or financial advice.
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